SaltyJoe wrote:Moving on, the majority of your (Jornophelanthas) points deal with Gedno having lots of tools and winning cards at his disposal. That's all true, but in this, you ignore something rather basic: if they take out Gendo himself, none of that is an issue anymore.
And I'm saying for the third time now that Gendo has taken precautions against assassinations and kidnappings by no longer leaving the Geofront. He also ignored a direct summons by SEELE and sent Ritsuko instead.
"Taking him out" was no longer an option for SEELE by the time they were suspicious enough to consider it.
(Not to be rude, but you've ignored this argument multiple times now.)
SaltyJoe wrote:And about the U.N. mandate: i'm pretty sure that Seele's influence was what got him the mandate in the first place.
Correct. However, this took time and effort through global politics. If your favored candidate who has been given an outrageous U.N. mandate is no longer your personal favorite, it's not possible to just have him dismissed with a simple phonecall to a world leader. This, again, takes months of preparation, campaigning and greasing the right palms.
Especially if the person is ostensibly doing his job well in the public eye. Which is the case for Gendo and his team, since they saved the world about fifteen times over. The politicians (who had no inkling about Human Instrumentality) had no reason to doubt his performance.
Keep in mind that SEELE is a behind-the-curtain secret society, and not a direct influence in world politics. They are a lobby group with no immediate power, apart from being in the process of building a squad of MP Evangelions that can replace NERV in due time.
Unfortunately, "due time" is exactly what Gendo did not give them. The attack on NERV by JSSDF and SEELE was rushed, as SEELE could only deploy nine of their twelve MP EVAs, three having not yet been completed.
SaltyJoe wrote:The point i was getting at is not that he held [all the cards], but more that if Seele knew about the
emotional sway Gendo had over Rei, moreover, if that sway was something vital to their plans, then yeah, they can't just get rid of Gendo. Breaking out some other Nerv commander? Easy, but replacing the pseudo-father/husband/lover figure of the ancient lifeseeding creature is something only girly boys can do who are good at cooking.
I agree that SEELE had learned about Rei's true nature. However, they did so rather late, only slightly earlier than the audience:
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Rei's file was blank; NERV had made sure no record existed of her past or origins. Since NERV was also the Marduk Institute that selected pilots, this was easily done.
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SEELE's kidnapping of Fuyutsuki gave them reason to re-examine Yui's failed contact experiment with Lilith. I am speculating here, but this probably gave them pause to connect the dots between Rei and Yui (through physical resemblance), and finally between Rei and Lilith (through comparison to their own Kaworu project).
- SEELE summoned Gendo and ordered him to bring Rei. Gendo
refused, and sent Ritsuko instead. SEELE broke Ritsuko's spirit and she told them all the secrets she had kept for Gendo out of spite, most notably Rei's origins. After her return, she revealed this to Misato and Shinji, as well.
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Only now did SEELE realize the depth of Gendo's treachery (seeing their earlier suspicions confirmed in the worst possible way). It was far too late to have him removed from office (because Gendo had the advantage of time), or to have him forcibly removed (because Gendo had holed himself up in the Geofront). My guess is that they feared his possession of both Adam and Lilith, and that he could initiate their "forbidden union" at any time, which would defeat SEELE utterly. So they felt he forced their hand.
This was when they got really nervous about Gendo, and started pulling out all they had in order to stop him.
- SEELE sent
Kaworu as a favorable gambit to defeat Gendo. As I posted above, this would amount to a win-win scenario for them: If Kaworu succeeded, SEELE would have their Human Instrumentality immediately. If he failed (which was the case), NERV's Evangelions and pilots would be weakened and open for direct attack. And Kaworu's chances of success were above average, since nobody in Tokyo-3 knew about his existence or true nature, so he could pose as a new (and fully-trained) pilot. The ruse worked: Kaworu drew some suspicions from Gendo, Ritsuko and Fuyutsuki, but too late to stop him from descending to Terminal Dogma.
- SEELE's plan during EoE was to have
JSSDF kill all the Evangelion pilots and secure Unit-01 and (probably - speculation mode: ON) the dummy plug system (which they didn't know Ritsuko had destroyed already). They wanted to use either Lilith herself or Unit-01 (piloted by a mindless Rei dummy plug) in their
MP EVA ritual to start Human Instrumentality.
(Rei was useless to them, as she was deemed to loyal to Gendo, and Shinji as well, because what son would not be loyal to his own father? So they had to be killed on sight. Asuka was merely dangerous if she were ever to successfully pilot Unit-02 again, and her death warrant was just a safety precaution to disable Unit-02.)
Instead, what SEELE got was Unit-01 piloted by a mentally unstable Shinji, and their ritual did not get them Lilith to do their bidding, but a hybrid of Lilith and Adam with fragments of Rei's and Kaworu's consciousnesses that handed the fate of the world to mentally unstable Shinji.
And outside of this, they were never even aware that Unit-01 was itself not mindless, but had a semi-consciousness and volition of its own: Yui's.
So even though Human Instrumentality almost went the way SEELE wanted, there were so many factors outside of their control - not all of which were Gendo's doing - that they cannot be said to have actually controlled the destiny of humankind at any point.
This tragic irony is - in my mind - one of the main themes of Evangelion:
Man is never fully in control of his own destiny. Not Gendo, not SEELE, and not even Shinji the chosen one (although he did get the final decision, getting to that point was fully outside of his own control, and more of a coincidence than anything else).
EDIT: formatting