Joseki wrote:Movies in general are in a difficult position. Fitting 200-400 people in a closed room and having them sit shoulder by shoulder for 2 hours is not ideal. And I'm sure fear of COVID-19 will impact the commercial success of all the movies coming out before the virus is completely defeated, presumably at some point next year
Yep. I just did a comparison of Japanese attendance on BoxOfficeMojo and for the past two + months attendance has been dropping at a rate of over 15% a week. For the past six weeks Japanese theaters are doing roughly 25% of what they did at the same time last year. Sure, some of that can be accredited to what releases are playing in theaters but not 75%. Whenever Toho/Toei/Khara/Whoever chose the June 27,2020 release date -
it was decided on loooong before the late December announcement. They could have had the date in mind all the way back in 2018 before the first teaser appeared in theaters on Mirai - that date was decoded as the best date for the film to make a hit with audiences. That's not the case anymore.
It will be similar to what is happening in the Hollywood film market and in theatrical markets around the globe. Schedules will be rearranged, movies that were supposed to come out this summer will take later dates in the Fall and Winter and the movies originally scheduled for later in the year will move to 2021, etc. Some of the smaller titles will go to streaming and others will just be shifted a full calendar year but the movies will all be available at some point.
As for an international release? Despite COVID-19 shuttering everything, once theaters return so will the robust theatrical market for Japanese anime that came with it. Thanks to companies like GKids, Funimation, Fathom, etc most obscure anime films get a theatrical showing of some kind. One of the last movies I saw in theaters was Masaaki Yuasaa's
Ride Your Wave and the last ticket i purchased was for
Children of the Sea (obviously that showing is not happening now). In 2012 neither of those would have bene given a real run. Now they are. When Eva does hit Japanese theaters I imagine a global run would soon follow. I don't think it would be as fast as the turnaround of the last Dragonball or My Hero Academia films (
in the US it was 1 month between Japan and US release for Dragonball, two months for MHA) but it wouldn't be that far off.
kuribo-04 wrote:Cinemas should be an alternative, not something holding films hostage.
As a professional filmmaker I take offense to this.
We all hope our films have the opportunity to play on the biggest screen possible to an attentive audience.
That's sadly not the case.
99% of movies made already don't get theatrical releases and do end up going straight to VOD. The 1% that do get a proper theatrical run are made specifically for that venue. They have extensive marketing campaigns to tell you to go the theaters, etc. The filmmakers ideally would have everyone see it in a theater. If Anno wanted these to be made for TV he would have done so. And there most certainly are young filmmakers who 3.0+1.0 is their first professional gig and they want nothing more than to see their work and name in the credits on the big screen. I know I felt that when it happened.
The filmmakers want their film to play in a theater. Perhaps now more so than ever. And it will one day. Just probably not when originally promised. Not because the filmmakers ran into problems but because of a global crisis.
But, when this passes - and it will - for a
glorious few weeks any filmmaker who helped make the movie happen will be able to go buy a ticket and sit in a theater with strangers -
maybe not a lot at first but theaters will fill up eventually - to watch their work.
Then, after a few short months of playing in theaters the finished movie will be readily available on disc or through streaming for
THE REST OF ALL TIME.
If Khara ultimately decides to release the movie directly to streaming that is their prerogative as the authors of the film and I will 100% support it.
BUT
Cinemas are not holding films hostage. There are literally a million works of art readily available right now. If movies were food this would be like willingly starving to death because the one thing you want isn't on the menu.
People are dying.
Four of my friends are in the NYC hospital system right now and a rather young coworker of mine died three days ago. We think one of them likely got infected working on a film set for a movie that might have a theatrical run and if the movie is ever finished thats where they hope to see it. On the big screen. And I hope they can pull through and I don't get sick and I can one day see it with them.